06 Aug '12, 2pm

A few have asked how many U.S. casualties there might have been if U.S. invaded Japan instead of dropping the bomb:

Continue the fire bombing and blockade. After the war, the Strategic Bombing Survey concluded that without the atomic bomb or invasion, Japan would have accepted unconditional surrender, probably by November and definitely by the end of the year.(33) In the summer of 1945, however, Army Air Force leaders were not able to persuade Marshall that this strategy would work. Invasion. Neither Marshall nor Truman was convinced that LeMay's B-29 bombing campaign could bring a prompt end to the war. In their view, the only conventional alternative was invasion. The battle for Okinawa, occurring while deliberations about the bomb proceeded, was much on the minds of American leaders. Between April 1 and June 30, the United States took about 48,000 casualties(34) on Okinawa, where it was opposed by a Japanese force a fraction the size of the one waiting in the home islands. Kamikaze a...

Full article: http://www.afa.org/media/enolagay/sson3.asp

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