"Nate Silver just increased Obama's chances of winning to 1.21 gigawatts."

ace.mu.nu 01 Nov '12, 8pm

"Nate Silver just increased Obama's chances of winning to 1.21 gigawatts."

In almost every competitive general election, the party that loses the contest has also lost independent voters. This is because most people (although less so in gubernatorial elections) vote strictly along party lines: the Democrat might be all but guaranteed 80 to 90 percent of the Democratic vote, and the Republican 80 to 90 percent of the Republican vote. Except in certain regions of the country where one or another party encompasses a particularly wide range of ideologies (such as NY-23′s Republicans or vestigial Solid South Democrats), its independents who swing the vote, since they represent the overwhelming majority of the votes which are up-for-grabs. This must necessarily be the case.

Full article: http://ace.mu.nu/archives/334501.php

Tweets

@james__ok » 02 Nov '12, 2am
RT @GayPatriot: Nate Silver 2009 vs. Nate Silver 2012. Useful idiocy on full display. #tcot #p2 cc: @fivethirtyeight [link]
@GayPatriot » 02 Nov '12, 2am
Nate Silver 2009 vs. Nate Silver 2012. Useful idiocy on full display. #tcot #p2 cc: @fivethirtyeight [link]
@tographer » 01 Nov '12, 9pm
RT @MelissaTweets: RT @lachlan: "Nate Silver just increased Obama's chances of winning 2 1.21 gigawatts." [link]>Everyone VOTE
@JeffQuinton » 01 Nov '12, 9pm
RT @MelissaTweets: RT @lachlan: "Nate Silver just increased Obama's chances of winning to 1.21 gigawatts." [link]
@Urbanski_Fan_22 » 01 Nov '12, 9pm
RT @lachlan: "Nate Silver just increased Obama's chances of winning to 1.21 gigawatts." [link]
@lachlan » 01 Nov '12, 9pm
"Nate Silver just increased Obama's chances of winning to 1.21 gigawatts." [link]
@DANEgerus » 01 Nov '12, 8pm
Nate Silver, 2009: Let's Face It, Any Candidate Losing Independents "Must Necessarily" Lose [link] 2012 Obama 78.4% WIN!
@Underdown » 01 Nov '12, 8pm
LULZ: Nate Silver, 2009: Let's Face It, Any Candidate Losing Independents "Must Necessarily" Lose the Election [link]
@Amuk3 » 02 Nov '12, 2am
Nate Silver, 2009: Let's Face It, Any Candidate Losing Independents "Must Necessarily" Lose the Election [link]
@NukemHill » 01 Nov '12, 9pm
RT @lachlan: "Nate Silver just increased Obama's chances of winning to 1.21 gigawatts." [link]
@gabrielmalor » 01 Nov '12, 9pm
RT @lachlan: "Nate Silver just increased Obama's chances of winning to 1.21 gigawatts." [link]
@sbprice » 01 Nov '12, 9pm
RT @MelissaTweets: RT @lachlan: "Nate Silver just increased Obama's chances of winning to 1.21 gigawatts." [link]
@MelissaTweets » 01 Nov '12, 9pm
RT @lachlan: "Nate Silver just increased Obama's chances of winning to 1.21 gigawatts." [link]